Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc82…4fac
sports · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses27 / 34
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)61 / 71
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 7 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Yes 35¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic Aoyama/Liang 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Heroic 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Andrea Lazaro Garcia 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Foggia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Tatiana Pieri Tatiana Pieri 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$5 +259%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$5 -72%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +285%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$4 +134%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 11 $2 $0 -17%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -70%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $9 +$7 +79%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$3 +64%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -58%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +45%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$3 +134%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$1 +47%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +24%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $1 +$1 +97%
Foggia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Tatiana Pieri Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $1 +$2 +151%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 05 $2 −$1 -33%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 04 $1 $0 +19%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 04 $1 $0 +49%
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% $0
other 8% −$5
weather 4% +$3
crypto 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 56¢ $7 55m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 15¢ $2 1h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 2h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 BUY 23¢ $5 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 5¢ $3 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 25¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 47¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 17¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 17¢ $2 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $3 19h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $5 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 43¢ $1 21h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 54¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 36¢ $3 28h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 4¢ $1 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 11¢ $2 30h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 2d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 BUY Over 56¢ $1 3d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY M80 5¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 5¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -9.6% -18.2% 42% 42% -14.9%
≤30d 61 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 38% -12.7%
≤90d 61 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 38% -12.7%
all 61 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 38% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 38% -12.7%
10% -31.2% 36% -21.1%
15% -37.9% 31% -28.7%
20% -43.9% 21% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.62 · official $8.62 (match) · 154 history records