Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc89…4c0b
crypto · 567 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses356 / 210
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)566 / 567
History coverage185d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 566 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$2
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$55
sports 2% +$2
other 2% +$4
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$2
culture 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 -0.8% -10.3% 66% 38% -9.4%
≤30d 455 -1.8% -11.1% 65% 40% -10.9%
≤90d 566 -0.0% -9.5% 63% 42% -11.0%
all 566 -0.0% -9.5% 63% 42% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 42% -11.0%
10% -18.2% 27% -19.5%
15% -26.1% 16% -27.3%
20% -33.3% 11% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2347 history records