Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:29:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CC 0xcc91…1a88 crypto 986 markets active 1h ago coverage 167d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 166d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$404 (+0%) realized +$395 · open +$9
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate54%525W / 456L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$95per market
Trades / day19.1pace
Fees−$88est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$94now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 167d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% −$5,952
other 16% +$4,101
sports 4% −$279
world 2% +$87
finance 1% +$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -11.3% -19.8% 53% 47% -1.5%
≤30d 218 -18.5% -26.3% 51% 42% -20.2%
≤90d 963 -7.2% -16.0% 53% 47% -11.7%
all 981 -6.6% -15.5% 54% 48% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 48% -11.0%
10% -23.6% 38% -19.5%
15% -30.9% 27% -27.3%
20% -37.7% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +0% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$39 vs −$50 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

167d coverage
Net worth$94
Realized+$395
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses525 / 456
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions2
Markets (closed)981 / 986
History coverage167d ⚠
Avg bet$95
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 981 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 56¢ 66¢ $56 $66 +$9 (+17%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 29¢ 29¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 213 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 19 $341 +$95 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $235 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$39 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +40%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Jun 17 $168 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$6 +25%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 16 $57 +$8 +15%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $104 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $103 +$40 +39%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $158 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$28 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$49 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$36 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$84 -65%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 −$1 -9%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $26 −$2 -8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $29 +$31 +109%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +34%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $37 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $29 −$5 -16%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $33 +$1 +4%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $246 +$21 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 +56%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $758 −$375 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 100¢ $35 53m
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 81¢ $26 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 63¢ $15 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 61¢ $26 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 60¢ $6 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 60¢ $17 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 60¢ $6 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 60¢ $4 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 60¢ $19 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 37¢ $21 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $17 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $9 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $9 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $10 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $67 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $21 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $40 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $20 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $40 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $1 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $20 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 40¢ $23 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 29¢ $91 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 29¢ $102 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 47¢ $102 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 47¢ $10 1h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 70¢ $10 2h
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 78¢ $10 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 5¢ $10 5h
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $30 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.50 · official $129.50 · 3500 history records