Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc91…1c09
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$4
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses39 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$34
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 72¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 44¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +26.6% +14.6% 51% 48% -26.1%
≤30d 80 +16.8% +5.7% 49% 45% -25.6%
≤90d 80 +16.8% +5.7% 49% 45% -25.6%
all 80 +16.8% +5.7% 49% 45% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.7% 45% -25.6%
10% -4.4% 41% -32.7%
15% -13.6% 35% -39.2%
20% -22.1% 29% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.47 · official $0.00 · 137 history records