Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc96…d916
sports · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,334 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,308 · open −$1,025
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$578
Realized−$5,308
Unrealized−$1,025
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses38 / 98
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Est. fees paid−$736
Open positions7
Markets (closed)136 / 143
History coverage37d
Avg bet$287
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$622
7 days−$3,082
14 days−$2,614
30 days−$3,840
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $200 $204 +$4 (+2%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 23¢ 24¢ $189 $201 +$12 (+6%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 14¢ 14¢ $94 $94 +$0 (+1%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $99 $73 −$26 (-26%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 37¢ 0¢ $300 $4 −$296 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 40¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 23¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+335%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Knicks 34¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+198%)
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOUD 35¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 40¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 32¢ 0¢ $262 $0 −$262 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 29¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 12¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In UNiTY esports 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 27¢ 0¢ $323 $0 −$323 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $251 $0 −$251 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 38¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 35¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner BESTIA Academy 27¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 15¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 21¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 18¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $139 +$786 +568%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $97 +$223 +231%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $171 +$223 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$142 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $178 −$174 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $409 −$400 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $563 −$551 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $341 +$809 +237%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $123 +$219 +178%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $163 −$160 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $78 +$88 +113%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $103 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $215 −$211 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $58 −$55 -95%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $181 −$176 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $367 −$358 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $306 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $205 −$200 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $201 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $408 −$400 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $268 +$867 +323%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $107 +$162 +152%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $255 −$255 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $325 −$319 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $152 −$148 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $614 −$600 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $360 +$426 +118%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $216 −$212 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $539 −$528 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $189 −$179 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $262 −$251 -96%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $360 −$353 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $586 −$573 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $511 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $612 −$600 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $218 −$213 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $268 −$262 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 06 $510 +$988 +194%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $361 +$641 +177%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $992 −$973 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $819 −$803 -98%
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $524 +$862 +165%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $792 +$1,017 +128%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $363 +$430 +118%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 01 $74 −$72 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $55 −$53 -96%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $100 −$97 -98%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoff May 31 $127 −$124 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$4,254
crypto 11% −$1,871
other 1% −$208
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 14¢ $96 22m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 23¢ $193 22m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 37¢ $306 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $376 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 96¢ $925 1h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $51 1h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $50 1h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $206 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 40¢ $356 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $320 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $390 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 14¢ $139 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 29¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $148 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $106 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 43¢ $171 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 8¢ $103 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 23¢ $178 25h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 21¢ $409 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 28¢ $563 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,150 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $341 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 99¢ $342 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 35¢ $123 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 34¢ $163 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 99¢ $166 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $78 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 13¢ $103 29h
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY TYLOO 29¢ $215 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +108.2% +88.4% 29% 29% -44.5%
≤30d 61 +69.5% +53.3% 26% 26% -43.3%
≤90d 136 +27.6% +15.5% 28% 28% -27.0%
all 136 +27.6% +15.5% 28% 28% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.5% 28% -27.0%
10% +4.4% 28% -34.0%
15% -5.7% 28% -40.4%
20% -14.9% 28% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $577.51 · official $576.37 (match) · 263 history records