Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcc98…e901
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$5 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses13 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$11
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 31 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 10 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 09 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 09 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 06 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 06 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $8 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 35d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +63.0% +47.5% 100% 100% +47.7%
≤30d 10 +11.9% +1.3% 70% 70% +1.9%
≤90d 22 -5.1% -14.2% 59% 59% -13.5%
all 22 -5.1% -14.2% 59% 59% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 59% -13.5%
10% -22.4% 50% -21.7%
15% -29.9% 45% -29.3%
20% -36.8% 36% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records