trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 42% | 42% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -34.5% | -40.7% | 33% | 30% | -55.4% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -34.5% | -40.7% | 33% | 30% | -55.4% |
| all | 33 | -34.5% | -40.7% | 33% | 30% | -55.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.7% | 30% | -55.4% |
| 10% | -46.4% | 30% | -59.6% |
| 15% | -51.6% | 30% | -63.5% |
| 20% | -56.3% | 15% | -67.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $97 | $96 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 7¢ | $50 | $82 | +$32 (+64%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $10 | +$8 | +76% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $5 | −$3 | -51% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $5 | +$8 | +154% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 26 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$2 | -32% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $5 | +$3 | +50% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$8 | -39% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$1 | +10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$7 | +64% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$6 | +40% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $112 | −$79 | -70% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |