Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:55:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xcca2…fa31
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$55
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses26 / 23
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)49 / 56
History coverage104d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 7 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $57 $57 +$0 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 59¢ 38¢ $30 $19 −$11 (-36%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 24¢ 56¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+131%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 27¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Khamenei post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$58 +443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$21 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $76 +$83 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$6 +8%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $61 +$27 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$26 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $30 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$63 -63%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$48 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$22 +29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Jun 10 $5 −$3 -62%
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 ( Jun 10 $104 −$100 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9? May 08 $6 −$6 -96%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? May 08 $2 $0 +4%
Will Khamenei post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Mar 22 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$65
finance 12% −$73
other 9% +$95
sports 4% $0
world 4% −$12
economics 1% +$1
weather 0% −$6
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $71 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +6.8% -3.4% 53% 51% -13.0%
≤30d 45 +6.8% -3.4% 53% 51% -13.0%
≤90d 49 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 47% -13.7%
all 49 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 47% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 47% -13.7%
10% -16.3% 37% -21.9%
15% -24.3% 29% -29.5%
20% -31.8% 20% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.44 · official $100.32 (match) · 179 history records