Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T13:43:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xccb0…d15c crypto 733 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$29,432 (-109%) realized −$29,432 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate60%442W / 291L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day88.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 34d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,380
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -8.7% -17.4% 60% 50% -23.2%
≤30d 682 -6.8% -15.7% 60% 47% -17.7%
≤90d 733 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 46% -17.5%
all 733 -7.4% -16.2% 60% 46% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover88.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 46% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 37% -25.4%
15% -31.6% 26% -32.6%
20% -38.3% 21% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$24 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$29,432
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses442 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)733 / 733
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$37
Trades / day88.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 733 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $150 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $140 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $93 +$9 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 25 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 25 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$9 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $8 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 25 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $86 +$32 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $2 +$2 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $12 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$10 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$6 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 24 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 24 $7 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$6 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $70 +$32 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$3 -71%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $158 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $18 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $18 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $17 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $92 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records