Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:41:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CC 0xccba…8ae4 crypto 145 markets active 10d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2890 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$2,985 (+16%) realized +$2,985 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +303% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +210% what you keep after slip
Net edge+210%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate54%104W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$125per market
Trades / day2890.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$8now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$340
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2890 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+264.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +1169.1% +1048.2% 60% 60% +489.8%
≤30d 193 +302.8% +264.5% 54% 40% -10.7%
≤90d 193 +302.8% +264.5% 54% 40% -10.7%
all 193 +302.8% +264.5% 54% 40% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2890.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +264.5% 40% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here +229.6% 29% -19.3%
15% +197.7% 22% -27.1%
20% +168.6% 19% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +303% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late +580% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
19.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$23 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$8
Realized+$2,985
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses104 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)193 / 145
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$125
Trades / day2890.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 193 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$89 -12862%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$95 -15983%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$14 -2276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$12 -2918%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$38 -7919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$13 -2510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$19 -4032%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$21 -7620%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$6 -1592%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$145 -49608%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$28 -10826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$71 -32717%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$38 -20239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$48 -28382%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$49 -34380%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$10 -6813%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$43 +54285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$47 +186351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$124 +74237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$1 -8565%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 +1945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$48 +10980%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$225 +627510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$37 +429124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$79 +87252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$96 +40906%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$102 -21649%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$23 +26404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$23 +63685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$63 +2441185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$49 +35930%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$22 +16253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$50 +48169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$27 +85998%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$28 +511802%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$39 +109726%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$23 +146968%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$38 +243168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$4 +5684%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$100 +84675%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$8 +10502%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$78 +59756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$40 +14995%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$38 +24722%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$14 +5164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$32 +65132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$62 +105858%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $75 +$6 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $14 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $18 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $14 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $14 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.00 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records