Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccd0…7482
weather · 1659 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$68 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$73 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$73
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1459 / 191
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1650 / 1659
History coverage101d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 1650 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$14
14 days+$69
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Yes 88¢ 99¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? No 95¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? No 96¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? No 97¢ 91¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? No 84¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-52%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4? No 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 16? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2? No 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11? No 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4? No 96¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 16? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11? No 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 5? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 10? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +48%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $18 +$9 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$72
crypto 0% −$1
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 92¢ $6 42m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? BUY No 84¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 88¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June SELL No 100¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 96¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June SELL No 100¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June BUY No 80¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -5.3% -14.3% 86% 9% -8.7%
≤30d 677 +2.3% -7.4% 87% 10% -7.7%
≤90d 1546 +1.6% -8.1% 90% 9% -8.1%
all 1650 +0.9% -8.7% 88% 10% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 10% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 5% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 3% -25.4%
20% -32.7% 3% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.61 · official $36.43 (match) · 3500 history records