Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:39:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CC 0xccd7…f491 sports 118 markets active 3h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (182 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$8,993 (+6%) realized +$8,993 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate81%96W / 22L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$1,176per market
Trades / day181.9pace
Fees−$1,307est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 17d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$1,986
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (182 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)+6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +37.0% +23.9% 81% 4% -8.7%
≤30d 118 +18.0% +6.7% 81% 7% -8.3%
≤90d 118 +18.0% +6.7% 81% 7% -8.3%
all 118 +18.0% +6.7% 81% 7% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover181.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.7% 7% -8.3%
10% -3.5% 3% -17.0%
15% ← realistic here -12.8% 2% -25.1%
20% -21.4% 2% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$1,683) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +34% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
23.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$46 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.97 per $1 lost it wins $2.97
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,993
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses96 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,307
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 118
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$1,176
Trades / day181.9
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 118 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 18 $717 $0 +0%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo Jun 17 $499 +$12 +2%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $418 −$18 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast Jun 17 $1,105 +$11 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $105 −$5 -5%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $192 +$6 +3%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $988 +$23 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $309 +$49 +16%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $567 +$26 +4%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 17 $102 −$2 -2%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $152 +$1 +1%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $188 +$12 +6%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $0 $0 +6%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 16 $1,697 +$32 +2%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $262 +$9 +4%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Chin Jun 16 $218 +$4 +2%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $376 +$6 +2%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 16 $112 +$7 +6%
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Jun 16 $814 +$33 +4%
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $593 +$20 +3%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 15 $828 +$7 +1%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $657 +$16 +2%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $680 +$7 +1%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $91 +$6 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 15 $6,412 −$4 -0%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $2,554 −$57 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $1,804 +$73 +4%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Jun 15 $218 +$27 +12%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $414 +$10 +2%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,014 +$6 +1%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $132 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $908 −$8 -1%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $297 +$3 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $2,478 +$42 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,281 +$19 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,337 +$63 +5%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,775 +$25 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,270 −$294 -9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1,683 −$50 -3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9,144 +$75 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,566 +$75 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $836 −$10 -1%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $108 +$4 +3%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,183 +$110 +9%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $2,840 +$80 +3%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,674 +$35 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $748 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $599 +$1 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $791 +$9 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 84¢ $13 2h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 3¢ $0 2h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 5¢ $5 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 90¢ $90 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Yakult Brothers 65¢ $65 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Yakult Brothers 66¢ $66 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Yakult Brothers 67¢ $9 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 9¢ $13 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 10¢ $20 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 81¢ $140 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 91¢ $91 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 85¢ $240 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Yakult Brothers 82¢ $122 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 70¢ $105 3h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 61¢ $61 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $15 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $28 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $28 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $7 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $2 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 62¢ $43 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 63¢ $133 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $94 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $2 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $5 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $5 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $2 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 35¢ $0 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 36¢ $72 26h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 88¢ $88 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records