Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccd8…f4de
sports · 540 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,726 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,148 · open +$1,444
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$237,861
Realized+$3,148
Unrealized+$1,444
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses207 / 304
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Est. fees paid−$9,695
Open positions29
Markets (closed)511 / 540
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1,078
Trades / day167.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 29 History 511 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,177
7 days−$6,101
14 days+$3,148
30 days+$3,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 81¢ 81¢ $172,946 $173,129 +$183 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $52,859 $53,235 +$376 (+1%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 42¢ 100¢ $597 $1,421 +$824 (+138%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 46¢ 47¢ $600 $609 +$10 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 39¢ 40¢ $597 $605 +$8 (+1%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 34¢ 34¢ $601 $602 +$1 (+0%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ 38¢ $602 $594 −$8 (-1%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Felix Balshaw 40¢ 40¢ $597 $590 −$7 (-1%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Nuria Brancaccio 41¢ 40¢ $602 $587 −$15 (-2%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 80¢ $299 $585 +$286 (+96%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 35¢ 34¢ $597 $582 −$15 (-3%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 40¢ 38¢ $597 $580 −$17 (-3%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ 27¢ $597 $575 −$21 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 26¢ 24¢ $597 $562 −$34 (-6%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 38¢ 67¢ $299 $521 +$222 (+74%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 30¢ 78¢ $149 $390 +$241 (+162%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 46¢ 46¢ $299 $302 +$3 (+1%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 45¢ 44¢ $299 $295 −$3 (-1%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 31¢ 30¢ $298 $294 −$5 (-2%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 19¢ 18¢ $298 $290 −$8 (-3%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 29¢ 23¢ $298 $238 −$60 (-20%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 49¢ 37¢ $299 $226 −$73 (-24%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 25¢ 34¢ $149 $207 +$58 (+39%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 21¢ 6¢ $596 $185 −$412 (-69%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 48¢ 52¢ $149 $160 +$11 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $151 +$58 +39%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $305 −$239 -78%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $152 +$204 +134%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $150 +$39 +26%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $302 −$162 -54%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $305 +$690 +227%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $303 +$151 +50%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1,216 +$1,698 +140%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $303 −$194 -64%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $608 −$452 -74%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $608 −$309 -51%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $609 −$402 -66%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $301 −$38 -12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $609 −$597 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $305 −$245 -80%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 12 $305 −$273 -90%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 12 $153 −$153 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $921 −$244 -26%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 12 $610 −$610 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $378 −$255 -67%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 12 $304 −$248 -82%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $304 −$243 -80%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $305 −$258 -85%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $301 +$179 +60%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $151 −$88 -58%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $306 +$365 +119%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $91 +$61 +67%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $153 −$94 -62%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $257 +$24 +10%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $302 +$194 +64%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $242 +$161 +67%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $272 +$185 +68%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $306 −$236 -77%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 11 $305 −$127 -42%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $304 +$178 +58%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $152 +$1 +0%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $307 +$766 +250%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $304 +$128 +42%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $457 +$844 +185%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $151 +$42 +28%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $153 −$109 -72%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $913 +$191 +21%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $152 +$74 +49%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $304 +$462 +152%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $913 +$1,003 +110%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $151 +$62 +41%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 11 $152 −$149 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $152 −$149 -98%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $607 +$750 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$4,592
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $865 4m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 41¢ $309 10m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 41¢ $304 10m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 40¢ $304 11m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 39¢ $304 11m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren SELL Toby Samuel 86¢ $209 13m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 40¢ $304 25m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 40¢ $304 26m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $35 28m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $100 29m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Benjamin Bonzi 5¢ $66 39m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $13 41m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $116 46m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 46¢ $303 50m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $128 52m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 19¢ $305 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ $309 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ $304 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $1,000 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 83¢ $189 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 31¢ $139 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Petr Brunclik 77¢ $454 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 45¢ $304 2h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 34¢ $309 2h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 34¢ $304 2h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 35¢ $304 2h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 35¢ $304 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 20¢ $109 2h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ $305 2h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ $305 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 -9.4% -18.0% 39% 38% -11.5%
≤30d 511 -3.2% -12.4% 41% 39% -8.7%
≤90d 511 -3.2% -12.4% 41% 39% -8.7%
all 511 -3.2% -12.4% 41% 39% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 39% -8.7%
10% -20.8% 37% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here -28.5% 33% -25.4%
20% -35.5% 28% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $237,860.52 · official $237,590.23 (match) · 2296 history records