trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 14% | 14% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 23% | 8% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 23% | 8% | -9.3% |
| all | 22 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 41% | 9% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 9% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 5% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 5% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 5% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 21 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | -12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 08 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 05 | $28 | −$1 | -3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $46 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of | Mar 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26? | Feb 25 | $8 | −$3 | -30% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24? | Feb 24 | $20 | −$11 | -56% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Feb 23 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Eastern Kentucky vs. Bellarmine | Feb 21 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |