trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 29% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 24% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 07 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 21 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 18 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 11 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 10 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 07 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 18 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Apr 13 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 06 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | Mar 29 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 16 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 12 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $84 | $0 | -0% |