Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:07:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd22…420f
crypto · 2136 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1,987 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,990 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$1,990
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1038 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1537 / 2136
History coverage20d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day123.4
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$186
7 days+$332
14 days+$1,178
30 days+$1,990
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 50¢ 18¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$2,172
politics 1% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 510 +20.4% +9.0% 60% 60% +6.3%
≤30d 1537 +34.9% +22.0% 68% 67% +21.5%
≤90d 1537 +34.9% +22.0% 68% 67% +21.5%
all 1537 +34.9% +22.0% 68% 67% +21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.0% 67% +21.5%
10% ← realistic here +10.3% 67% +9.8%
15% -0.3% 67% -0.8%
20% -10.1% 67% -10.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.40 · official $1.40 (match) · 3500 history records