Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:04:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd3d…e7eb
sports · 1149 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23,076 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,832 · open −$244
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$506
Realized−$22,832
Unrealized−$244
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses310 / 837
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1147 / 1149
History coverage113d
Avg bet$286
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 2 History 1147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$100
14 days−$100
30 days−$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $500 $505 +$5 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $250 $1 −$249 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 6¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikova Camila Osorio 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanch Kimmer Coppejans 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes Inaki Montes 41¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Aliaksandra Sasnovich 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova Anastasia Zakharova 5¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes May 15 $101 −$99 -98%
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich May 15 $102 −$100 -98%
Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova May 15 $103 −$100 -97%
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikova May 15 $102 −$100 -98%
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva May 15 $102 +$136 +134%
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanch May 15 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) May 12 $141 +$233 +165%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $51 −$50 -97%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $74 −$74 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 May 10 $102 +$192 +188%
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomery May 10 $38 −$38 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 10 $210 −$210 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 10 $295 −$295 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 May 10 $205 −$205 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 10 $492 −$492 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova Apr 11 $30 −$30 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Apr 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzman Apr 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondar Apr 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Bucharest Open: Gabi Boitan vs Elmer Moeller Apr 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets Apr 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navone Apr 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Joel Schwaerzl Apr 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Tik Apr 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys Apr 10 $400 −$400 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zh Apr 10 $66 −$66 -100%
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Radu David Turcanu Apr 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Sao Leopoldo: Paulo Dos Santos vs Gonzalo Bueno Mar 31 $30 +$101 +337%
Sao Paulo: Jaime Faria vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Mar 30 $150 +$409 +273%
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Mar 29 $104 −$104 -100%
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Mar 29 $88 −$88 -100%
Morelia: Borna Gojo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Mar 29 $100 −$100 -100%
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Matias Soto Mar 29 $200 −$200 -100%
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Katarina Zavatska Mar 29 $200 −$200 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Mitche Mar 29 $100 −$100 -100%
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Mar 29 $80 −$80 -100%
Sao Paulo: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Dellien Mar 29 $224 −$224 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Clem Mar 29 $200 −$200 -100%
Sao Paulo: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Juan Carlos Prado Mar 29 $200 −$200 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Gen Mar 29 $800 −$800 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Stefan Dostanic vs A Mar 29 $350 −$350 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Ry Mar 28 $200 +$331 +165%
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Mar 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Tamara Zidansek Mar 28 $140 −$140 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$28,218
other 11% +$5,186
world 0% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $508 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 6¢ $103 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $256 1h
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes BUY Inaki Montes 41¢ $101 28d
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich BUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich 22¢ $102 28d
Paris: Madison Keys vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Anastasia Zakharova 5¢ $103 28d
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Camila Osorio 45¢ $102 28d
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 42¢ $102 28d
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanch BUY Kimmer Coppejans 25¢ $102 28d
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) BUY FC Barcelona 37¢ $141 33d
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 45¢ $102 33d
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 3¢ $51 33d
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 37¢ $74 33d
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 34¢ $102 33d
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 48¢ $102 33d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $38 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $105 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 37d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 21¢ $63 37d
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $492 38d
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) BUY Arsenal FC 26¢ $295 38d
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 15¢ $205 38d
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomery BUY Suzan Lamens 27¢ $38 56d
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova BUY Karolina Pliskova 25¢ $30 63d
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $50 63d
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) BUY TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 18¢ $100 63d
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10? BUY Yes 41¢ $100 63d
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzman BUY Dimitar Kuzmanov 20¢ $31 73d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 7 -66.6% -69.8% 14% 14% -69.3%
≤90d 437 -12.3% -20.6% 27% 26% -19.1%
all 1147 -5.8% -14.8% 27% 27% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 27% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 27% -23.9%
15% -30.4% 26% -31.2%
20% -37.2% 26% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $506.00 · official $506.00 (match) · 3500 history records