trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -25.8% | -32.9% | 45% | 45% | -24.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 50% | 50% | -24.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 50% | 50% | -24.1% |
| all | 28 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 43% | 36% | -24.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.4% | 36% | -24.8% |
| 10% | -40.7% | 32% | -32.0% |
| 15% | -46.4% | 21% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 18% | -44.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $138 | +$38 (+38%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $130 | +$30 (+30%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $81 | −$19 (-19%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $57 | +$7 (+14%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $203 | +$103 | +51% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $90 | +$11 | +12% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $80 | +$18 | +23% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$67 | -66% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $101 | +$31 | +31% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$40 | -40% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23? | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +122% |
| Will Everton win on 2025-02-22? | Feb 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21? | Feb 22 | $1 | +$2 | +156% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19? | Feb 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26? | Feb 19 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Feb 19 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | Jan 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | Jan 06 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | Jan 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 16 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December? | Dec 16 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Dec 06 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | Dec 06 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in November? | Dec 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22? | Nov 25 | $11 | +$4 | +39% |