Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd5b…6a95
crypto · 155 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$690 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$489 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$489
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses85 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)155 / 155
History coverage123d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$252
7 days+$601
14 days+$823
30 days+$823
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $78 +$77 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$124 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $119 +$90 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$103 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$110 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$85 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$53 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$66 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $73 +$92 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $73 +$101 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $68 −$63 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $47 −$22 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$33 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $72 +$43 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $52 +$46 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $52 +$51 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 08 $52 +$39 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 08 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 08 $62 +$50 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $52 +$98 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $76 +$113 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $74 −$70 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $24 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $93 +$86 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $62 +$75 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $21 +$23 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $47 +$50 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 05 $31 +$14 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$499
world 3% +$105
economics 1% −$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +16.4% +5.4% 60% 57% +15.8%
≤30d 62 +20.4% +9.0% 63% 60% +15.2%
≤90d 155 +3.9% -6.0% 55% 54% -4.2%
all 155 +3.9% -6.0% 55% 54% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 54% -4.2%
10% -15.0% 50% -13.3%
15% -23.2% 43% -21.7%
20% -30.7% 39% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 612 history records