trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +23.5% | +11.7% | 36% | 9% | -7.1% |
| all | 21 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 43% | 10% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.1% | 10% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -10.6% | 10% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 5% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -27.1% | 5% | -32.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $50 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $90 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 24 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 23 | $32 | +$2 | +6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $6 | −$1 | -9% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 21 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Alabama A&M vs. Alabama State | Mar 21 | $4 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%? | Mar 01 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26? | Feb 25 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 24 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Gonzaga vs. Washington State | Feb 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off? | Feb 18 | $5 | $0 | +0% |