trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 100% | 4% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 100% | 4% | -8.8% |
| all | 28 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 100% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -7.3% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -16.2% | 4% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -24.3% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $237 | $235 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $57 | $58 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $11,401 | +$104 | +1% |
| Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $475 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $9,900 | +$100 | +1% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10,802 | +$198 | +2% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10,945 | +$167 | +2% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $996 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $74,826 | +$86 | +0% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $10,294 | +$264 | +3% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10,910 | +$33 | +0% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10,900 | +$11 | +0% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10,838 | +$61 | +1% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10,672 | +$165 | +2% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $76 | +$25 | +32% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $91 | +$9 | +10% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,526 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $10,185 | +$10 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le | Jun 12 | $2,256 | +$25 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $1,393 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10,537 | +$11 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $10,526 | +$11 | +0% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 03 | $610 | +$21 | +3% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 02 | $1,290 | +$16 | +1% |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 02 | $1,500 | +$50 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10,053 | +$387 | +4% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $7,532 | +$8 | +0% |
| Eagles vs. Cowboys | Nov 24 | $31 | $0 | +0% |