Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:55:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd6d…aeb3
sports · 758 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$265
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses339 / 365
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions49
Markets (closed)704 / 758
History coverage98d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 49 History 704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$23
14 days+$133
30 days+$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 86¢ 90¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 35¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+9%)
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk Dominick Mosejczuk 62¢ 66¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 51¢ 50¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 30¢ $14 $12 −$1 (-11%)
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Spain 49¢ 33¢ $17 $11 −$5 (-32%)
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Yes 70¢ 74¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Kilian Feldbausch Kilian Feldbausch 51¢ 50¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger Mitchell Krueger 51¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris 51¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Yes 75¢ 72¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Yes 69¢ 76¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+9%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric Sean Cuenin 69¢ 69¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 56¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 No 54¢ 53¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 70¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Reilly Opelka Reilly Opelka 51¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 No 51¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Yes 61¢ 58¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 54¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
ITF Los Angeles: Jacob Brumm vs Marcel Latak Marcel Latak 47¢ 50¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 38¢ 50¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+32%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$4 +158%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 $0 +65%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $6 +$2 +24%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $4 +$3 +73%
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Jun 11 $12 +$6 +48%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$7 +129%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +70%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $8 +$4 +42%
ITF Martos: Carles Hernandez vs Joao Domingues Jun 11 $5 +$3 +48%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Oscar Brown Jun 11 $11 +$4 +32%
ITF Brasilia: Rafael Tosetto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jan Hrazdil vs Rudolf Molleker Jun 11 $13 +$2 +16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Thanapet Chanta vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 11 $2 +$3 +172%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $4 +$3 +76%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +124%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +119%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
ITF Brasilia: Nicolas Oliveira vs Salvador Price Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ali Yazdani vs Carles Cordoba Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +83%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 +$4 +105%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +140%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +140%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Pablo Perez Navarro Jun 10 $5 +$2 +36%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$74
other 17% +$44
world 1% +$3
crypto 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 BUY No 44¢ $3 1h
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5 BUY No 47¢ $3 1h
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 BUY No 54¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric BUY Sean Cuenin 69¢ $6 6h
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 62¢ $14 6h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 8h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 52¢ $0 8h
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 13h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 56¢ $4 15h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $3 17h
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 BUY No 51¢ $4 18h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 49¢ $3 19h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 21h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 61¢ $5 22h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 25h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov BUY Sean Cuenin 81¢ $12 25h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 60¢ $1 27h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 80¢ $11 27h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 27h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker BUY Rudolf Molleker 46¢ $2 28h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 28h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 39¢ $2 29h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 38¢ $2 29h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi BUY Carlos Giraldi 17¢ $1 31h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 55¢ $4 33h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 82¢ $11 35h
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) BUY New York Liberty 47¢ $3 37h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $3 39h
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny BUY Sebastian Gorzny 57¢ $4 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 +0.0% -9.5% 53% 49% -7.3%
≤30d 559 +8.3% -2.0% 53% 51% -4.1%
≤90d 607 +5.6% -4.4% 51% 49% -6.8%
all 704 +1.2% -8.5% 48% 46% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 46% -10.2%
10% -17.2% 44% -18.8%
15% -25.2% 40% -26.6%
20% -32.6% 36% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $265.19 · official $262.59 (match) · 1179 history records