Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T20:41:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CD 0xcd7d…7d08 crypto 410 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2154 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,034 (+4%) realized +$1,034 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate69%322W / 147L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day2154.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$177
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2154 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 -9.4% -18.0% 69% 58% -11.0%
≤30d 469 -9.4% -18.0% 69% 58% -11.0%
≤90d 469 -9.4% -18.0% 69% 58% -11.0%
all 469 -9.4% -18.0% 69% 58% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2154.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 58% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 22% -19.5%
15% -33.0% 4% -27.3%
20% -39.6% 1% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$23 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,034
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses322 / 147
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)469 / 410
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$68
Trades / day2154.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 469 Trades
no open positions (87 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 28 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 28 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $88 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $104 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $84 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $135 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $38 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $18 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records