Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:47:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CD 0xcd9b…9b52 crypto 1367 markets active 0h ago coverage 80d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 80d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17,089 (+66%) realized +$17,089 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate4%60W / 1307L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day30.1pace
Kalshi-fit74%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$398
7 days−$2,090
14 days+$1,088
30 days+$14,136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$14,254
other 8% +$2,601
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -47.5% -52.5% 2% 2% -99.8%
≤30d 185 +70.3% +54.1% 8% 8% -42.1%
≤90d 1367 -7.8% -16.6% 4% 4% -63.5%
all 1367 -7.8% -16.6% 4% 4% -63.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 4% -63.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 4% -67.0%
15% -31.9% 4% -70.2%
20% -38.6% 4% -73.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +67% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +67% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -88% → late +72% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$692 vs −$19 · ×36.66 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.68 per $1 lost it wins $1.68
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

80d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17,089
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses60 / 1307
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1367 / 1367
History coverage80d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day30.1
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit74%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1367 Trades
no open positions (309 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$19 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $214 −$200 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$3 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $62 −$58 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $55 −$52 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $44 −$41 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $214 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $214 −$200 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $107 −$100 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $214 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $214 −$200 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$10 +4579%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$36 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $72 −$67 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $53 −$50 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$49 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$21 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$24 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $171 −$160 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $214 −$200 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $214 −$200 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$29 +9252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$57 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $20 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $214 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 21h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $12 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $25 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $23 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $55 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $214 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $214 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $44 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $214 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $159 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $39 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $72 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $8 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $53 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records