Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:08:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdf7…824e
crypto · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$488 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$488 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$488
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses100 / 96
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)196 / 196
History coverage2d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day1333.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,182
7 days−$488
14 days−$488
30 days−$488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$40 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$58 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$49 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$38 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$22 +350%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$54 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$31 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $261 +$63 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$47 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$136 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$138 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$60 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $172 −$121 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$41 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$62 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$29 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$83 +901%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$33 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $309 −$139 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$142 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$80 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $210 +$94 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$115 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$57 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$29 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$36 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$23 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$25 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$15 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$17 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$55 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$78 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$77 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$133 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$54 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$123 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$71 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$488
sports 0% +$15
other 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 49% -12.5%
≤30d 196 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 49% -12.5%
≤90d 196 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 49% -12.5%
all 196 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 49% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1333.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 49% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 46% -20.9%
15% -25.5% 40% -28.5%
20% -32.8% 31% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records