Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:03:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdfb…2ac0
sports · 10 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$19 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)7 / 10
History coverage225d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 55¢ 56¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 50¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 09 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 09 $10 +$3 +28%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 09 $5 +$10 +191%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $8 $0 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Nov 02 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Nov 02 $22 +$14 +62%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $5 +$4 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 55¢ $5 5h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 50¢ $5 5h
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $13 217d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 77¢ $10 217d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $15 217d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $5 217d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 55¢ $5 217d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) SELL T1 100¢ $7 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $5 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $36 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $10 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $10 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $2 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) SELL Top Esports 15¢ $2 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) BUY T1 75¢ $5 224d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) BUY Top Esports 26¢ $3 224d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $8 225d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 58¢ $5 225d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +22.0% +10.4% 71% 57% +20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.4% 57% +20.0%
10% -0.2% 57% +8.5%
15% -9.8% 43% -2.0%
20% -18.6% 43% -11.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.95 · official $11.95 (match) · 20 history records