Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:12:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce0d…1aaa
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$738 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$166 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized+$166
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses16 / 17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$164
Trades / day671.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$166
7 days+$166
14 days+$166
30 days+$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 64¢ 46¢ $142 $100 −$42 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $274 $0 −$274 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $349 $0 −$349 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$116 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $321 +$139 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$133 +253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $331 +$112 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $412 +$296 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $220 +$284 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $175 −$172 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $289 +$376 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $330 +$83 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $293 +$115 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$38 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$38 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$8 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $272 −$267 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $280 −$274 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $86 +$21 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $351 −$349 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $268 −$265 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$82 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$62 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $318 +$162 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $270 +$135 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$65 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $129 −$52 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $106 +$127 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$47 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $77 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $175 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 45% -6.7%
≤30d 33 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 45% -6.7%
≤90d 33 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 45% -6.7%
all 33 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 45% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover671.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 45% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 45% -15.7%
15% -35.1% 36% -23.8%
20% -41.5% 27% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.35 · official $124.62 · 688 history records