trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 19 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 37% | 16% | +8.8% |
| all | 19 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 37% | 16% | +8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 16% | +8.8% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 16% | -1.6% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 16% | -11.1% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 16% | -19.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $1,080 | −$1,043 | -97% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $1,497 | −$425 | -28% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 02 | $2,268 | +$48 | +2% |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of | Apr 29 | $764 | −$373 | -49% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 27 | $568 | +$9 | +2% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 27 | $3,407 | +$2,376 | +70% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 27 | $669 | +$3,761 | +562% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 26 | $90 | −$20 | -22% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 26 | $451 | −$102 | -23% |
| Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Apr 26 | $21 | −$18 | -83% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 26 | $12 | −$10 | -81% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | Apr 26 | $133 | −$101 | -76% |
| Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Apr 25 | $233 | −$41 | -18% |
| Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate | Apr 24 | $143 | −$64 | -45% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Apr 24 | $446 | +$20 | +4% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 24 | $931 | +$12 | +1% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 24 | $2,052 | −$1,273 | -62% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 22 | $30 | −$25 | -83% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Apr 10 | $427 | +$349 | +82% |