Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce25…7fdc
crypto · 150 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$868
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses85 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)21%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)166 / 150
Avg bet$246
Trades / day3353.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 58¢ 60¢ $200 $209 +$9 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 39¢ 40¢ $178 $180 +$3 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 62¢ 62¢ $94 $94 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 65¢ 66¢ $81 $82 +$2 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 43¢ 38¢ $75 $68 −$8 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 57¢ 74¢ $47 $60 +$13 (+28%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 69¢ 66¢ $59 $57 −$2 (-4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 64¢ 81¢ $32 $40 +$9 (+28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 28¢ 34¢ $28 $34 +$6 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 25¢ 34¢ $12 $17 +$4 (+36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 44¢ 26¢ $18 $11 −$7 (-40%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 43¢ 18¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-57%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 15¢ 24¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+68%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 67¢ 32¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-53%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$5 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $875 −$81 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,338 −$89 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $509 −$8 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$31 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $697 −$44 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$8 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$6 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$5 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$1 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $602 −$34 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$16 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$20 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$25 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $198 −$34 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $340 −$7 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $108 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,020 −$33 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $610 +$57 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,173 −$63 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $6 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $33 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 +12.5% +1.7% 51% 32% -9.6%
≤30d 166 +12.5% +1.7% 51% 32% -9.6%
≤90d 166 +12.5% +1.7% 51% 32% -9.6%
all 166 +12.5% +1.7% 51% 32% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3353.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 32% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 19% -18.3%
15% -16.9% 11% -26.2%
20% -25.0% 8% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $867.86 · official $870.28 (match) · 3500 history records