Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:39:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce31…b28e
crypto · 114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,564 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,564 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,564
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses57 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
Avg bet$206
Trades / day129.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,241
7 days−$1,564
14 days−$1,564
30 days−$1,564
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $828 −$43 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $900 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $764 +$60 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,065 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $631 +$32 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $491 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $641 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $236 −$125 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $668 +$73 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $57 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $303 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $312 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$32 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $327 +$27 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$57 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$50 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,088 +$38 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $83 +$31 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $479 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $383 −$55 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $373 +$24 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $150 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $409 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1,064 −$410 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,233 −$300 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $542 −$300 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $489 +$213 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $579 +$51 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $776 +$36 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,116 +$198 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $526 −$400 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $470 +$81 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $438 +$54 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $535 −$403 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $390 −$255 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $667 +$16 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $231 +$18 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $187 +$27 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $154 +$47 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $134 +$51 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $228 −$28 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $54 −$4 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,569
other 0% +$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $132 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $51 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $94 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $232 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $221 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $104 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $201 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $101 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $275 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $100 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $102 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -9.0% -17.6% 50% 31% -16.7%
≤30d 114 -9.0% -17.6% 50% 31% -16.7%
≤90d 114 -9.0% -17.6% 50% 31% -16.7%
all 114 -9.0% -17.6% 50% 31% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 31% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 20% -24.7%
15% -32.7% 18% -32.0%
20% -39.3% 11% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 803 history records