trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 25 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 60% | 8% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.4% | 8% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -10.8% | 4% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 4% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 4% | -32.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $33 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $35 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 04 | $3 | +$7 | +224% |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July? | Jun 26 | $23 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 03 | $25 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | Jun 03 | $23 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30? | May 29 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 | May 27 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 26 | $21 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will 'Seiko' win Crunchyroll's Best Supporting Character Award for 202 | May 23 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101K and $102K on May 23? | May 22 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | May 22 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in May? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 19 | $24 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $44-48m opening wee | May 19 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | May 18 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2025? | May 16 | $25 | $0 | +0% |