Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T13:09:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CE 0xce56…a99a crypto 48 markets active 9h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1090 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$3,131 (+28%) realized +$3,131 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +82% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +40% what you keep after slip
Net edge+40%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%26W / 22L
Whale WR33%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$231per market
Trades / day1090.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1090 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+65.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +82.5% +65.1% 54% 54% +16.1%
≤30d 48 +82.5% +65.1% 54% 54% +16.1%
≤90d 48 +82.5% +65.1% 54% 54% +16.1%
all 48 +82.5% +65.1% 54% 54% +16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1090.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +65.1% 54% +16.1%
10% ← realistic here +49.3% 54% +5.0%
15% +34.9% 52% -5.2%
20% +21.6% 50% -14.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 55% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +82% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 33% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +90% → late +75% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
44.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$386 vs −$315 · ×1.23 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.45 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses26 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage2d
Avg bet$231
Trades / day1090.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $127 +$243 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $998 +$1,956 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $138 +$323 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $192 +$454 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 24 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $619 −$619 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $682 −$672 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $414 −$414 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $393 +$961 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $911 +$2,501 +275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $1,053 +$2,997 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $1,845 −$1,844 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $1,006 −$1,006 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $1,237 −$1,237 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $825 −$801 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $40 −$12 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$32 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $7 +$21 +304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $16 +$39 +253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$49 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$17 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$72 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $8 +$14 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$30 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $17 +$28 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $9 +$36 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$74 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 22 $7 +$23 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $14 +$46 +330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $12 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2172 history records