trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 61% | 44% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 55% | 40% | -22.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 55% | 40% | -22.2% |
| all | 20 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 55% | 40% | -22.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.9% | 40% | -22.2% |
| 10% | -26.7% | 25% | -29.6% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 20% | -36.4% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 10% | -42.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Europe (UEFA) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 06 | $3 | −$2 | -67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 05 | $2 | −$1 | -30% |