Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce74…e6ec
crypto · 93 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses43 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)85 / 93
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day329.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+112%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners Over 47¢ 32¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Over 56¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-68%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Corner Morocco 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -49%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 +$4 +413%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$4 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$21 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$17 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$16 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$18 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$18 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$30 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$15 -85%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Corners Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$28 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$13 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$16 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$23 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$22 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$22
sports 2% +$10
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 42m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Corner BUY Morocco 43¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 47¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 56¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -10.0% -18.6% 51% 46% -10.5%
≤30d 85 -10.0% -18.6% 51% 46% -10.5%
≤90d 85 -10.0% -18.6% 51% 46% -10.5%
all 85 -10.0% -18.6% 51% 46% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover329.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 46% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 36% -19.1%
15% -33.5% 32% -26.9%
20% -40.0% 24% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.47 · official $13.47 · 357 history records