trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.5% |
| all | 25 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 60% | 0% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 0% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 60¢ | 59¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 05 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 125–139 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 01 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 31 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June? | May 31 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? | May 30 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 29 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will 'The Apothecary Diaries' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025? | May 26 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | May 24 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 24 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | May 23 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 23 | $24 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League? | May 19 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | May 19 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 18 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | May 16 | $24 | $0 | -0% |