trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 60% | 0% | -20.6% |
| all | 13 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 31% | 0% | -16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 0% | -16.1% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 0% | -24.1% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 0% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -38.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 05 | $260 | −$55 | -21% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 04 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 04 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 02 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 02 | $194 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $31 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 27 | $33 | $0 | +0% |