Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce9d…3c05
sports · 1082 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49,806 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25,203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$25,203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses534 / 547
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$8,214
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1081 / 1082
History coverage42d
Avg bet$471
Trades / day69.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1081 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$834
7 days−$11,383
14 days−$15,791
30 days−$27,263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $324 +$117 +36%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $506 +$296 +58%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $364 −$161 -44%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 14 $313 −$83 -26%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $203 +$26 +13%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $366 +$392 +107%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $235 +$165 +70%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $20 +$20 +101%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $108 +$48 +44%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $101 +$54 +53%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $122 +$76 +62%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $30 +$15 +48%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $101 +$56 +56%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $233 +$151 +65%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $51 +$49 +95%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 14 $7 +$3 +40%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $86 +$54 +63%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $101 +$58 +57%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $101 +$78 +77%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 14 $203 +$37 +18%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $101 −$4 -4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $101 +$43 +42%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $152 +$55 +36%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $51 +$33 +66%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $203 −$33 -16%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $102 −$69 -68%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 14 $101 +$25 +25%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Jun 14 $101 +$32 +32%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $203 +$149 +73%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $102 +$81 +80%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$6 -29%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $203 +$8 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $244 +$58 +24%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $112 −$98 -88%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $356 −$81 -23%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $402 −$149 -37%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $122 +$92 +75%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $51 +$27 +52%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $102 −$78 -77%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $101 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $128 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$44 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$76 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$20 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$23,843
other 0% −$1,252
crypto 0% −$95
world 0% −$20
tech 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 96¢ $249 26m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 74¢ $191 56m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $91 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $232 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $208 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili SELL Lorenzo Sonego 34¢ $203 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 59¢ $61 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 60¢ $304 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 91¢ $383 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 96¢ $200 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 68¢ $95 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 62¢ $116 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 40¢ $305 2h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 87¢ $185 2h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 53¢ $101 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 26¢ $2 3h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 35¢ $9 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 62¢ $227 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 53¢ $203 3h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 14¢ $45 3h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 61¢ $202 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $758 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $122 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $244 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $248 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 61¢ $2 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 61¢ $3 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 61¢ $39 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 61¢ $107 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $20 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -8.4% -17.1% 46% 43% -22.3%
≤30d 718 -5.4% -14.4% 49% 47% -17.7%
≤90d 1081 -3.8% -12.9% 49% 48% -14.0%
all 1081 -3.8% -12.9% 49% 48% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 48% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 47% -22.2%
15% -28.9% 45% -29.7%
20% -35.9% 38% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records