Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xcece…ffee
sports · 175 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$421 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$432 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$432
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses120 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$428
Open positions5
Markets (closed)170 / 175
History coverage60d
Avg bet$210
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 5 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$127
7 days+$258
14 days+$456
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 19¢ 38¢ $19 $39 +$20 (+103%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $7 $7 −$1 (-7%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-52%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 4¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-86%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B BET-M 33 79¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner MIBR 80¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 50¢ 0¢ $691 $0 −$691 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 24¢ 0¢ $313 $0 −$313 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks 76ers 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 31¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 49¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 0¢ $307 $0 −$307 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Magic 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage HAVU 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner ex-RUBY 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,213 +$317 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $385 −$62 -16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,588 +$40 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3,980 +$791 +20%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $572 −$570 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $307 −$307 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $264 −$81 -31%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $58 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $224 +$176 +79%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $49 −$26 -54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 +$31 +30%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $7 −$2 -28%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $2 $0 -16%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,000 +$786 +79%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $96 +$4 +4%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $3 −$2 -76%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $144 −$141 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,382 −$691 -50%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,702 +$21 +1%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $234 +$366 +156%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $1,659 −$443 -27%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2,836 +$67 +2%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $764 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $750 +$10 +1%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $724 +$31 +4%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $710 +$14 +2%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 G Jun 01 $500 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St Jun 01 $530 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoff Jun 01 $570 +$109 +19%
Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - Exort Series Mai Jun 01 $50 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou May 31 $520 −$4 -1%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters E May 31 $1,460 +$15 +1%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series May 27 $577 −$19 -3%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 27 $600 +$67 +11%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group May 26 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Champio May 26 $53 −$52 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series May 26 $1,766 −$1,098 -62%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St May 25 $1,510 +$83 +6%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Champ May 25 $1,436 +$137 +10%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner May 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Play May 25 $1,275 −$348 -27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $1,678 +$420 +25%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 24 $178 +$22 +12%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 23 $75 −$74 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $70 +$3 +5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 22 $65 +$6 +9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 22 $46 +$7 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships G May 22 $62 −$5 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$434
weather 1% $0
other 0% +$13
politics 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 80¢ $404 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 76¢ $383 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $371 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 58¢ $295 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 65¢ $330 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $40 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $156 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $98 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $98 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 74¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $14 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $46 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $97 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $117 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $19 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $67 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 68¢ $740 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -30.3% -36.9% 42% 26% -7.5%
≤30d 56 -12.2% -20.6% 61% 29% -10.2%
≤90d 170 -0.3% -9.8% 71% 25% -10.3%
all 170 -0.3% -9.8% 71% 25% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 25% -10.3%
10% -18.4% 20% -18.9%
15% -26.3% 16% -26.7%
20% -33.5% 15% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.04 · official $51.04 (match) · 949 history records