Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xced4…3dc4
tech · 3 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$19 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP tech specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage5d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 76¢ 92¢ $30 $36 +$6 (+20%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No 89¢ 95¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $98 +$12 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$12
tech 34% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 89¢ $20 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 76¢ $30 1h
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? BUY Yes 89¢ $88 5d
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? BUY Yes 88¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 100% +1.4%
≤30d 1 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 100% +1.4%
≤90d 1 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 100% +1.4%
all 1 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 100% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.4% 100% +1.4%
10% -8.3% 0% -8.3%
15% -17.1% 0% -17.1%
20% -25.3% 0% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.55 · official $56.37 · 5 history records