Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:13:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xcee6…0a45
sports · 695 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$62 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,305
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses257 / 216
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions247
Markets (closed)473 / 695
History coverage4d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day605.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 247 History 473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 30¢ 63¢ $138 $293 +$155 (+112%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 78¢ 68¢ $238 $209 −$29 (-12%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $196 $196 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 32¢ 82¢ $65 $169 +$104 (+161%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $160 $161 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 94¢ 92¢ $160 $158 −$2 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? No 95¢ 94¢ $143 $141 −$2 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? No 89¢ 100¢ $125 $139 +$14 (+11%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 15? No 84¢ 92¢ $118 $129 +$11 (+10%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $125 $126 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $128 $125 −$3 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? No 85¢ 68¢ $142 $115 −$28 (-20%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15? Yes 34¢ 62¢ $61 $111 +$50 (+81%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? No 67¢ 85¢ $81 $102 +$21 (+27%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? No 84¢ 87¢ $82 $85 +$3 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 86¢ 82¢ $86 $82 −$4 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 89¢ 99¢ $71 $79 +$8 (+11%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 82¢ 86¢ $76 $79 +$3 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 94¢ 96¢ $75 $76 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 16? No 86¢ 84¢ $69 $68 −$1 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 88¢ 95¢ $57 $62 +$5 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $56 $60 +$4 (+7%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 80¢ $51 $60 +$8 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Yes 26¢ 46¢ $34 $59 +$25 (+74%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 80¢ 99¢ $48 $59 +$11 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $55 +$9 +16%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $135 −$18 -13%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $13 +$10 +81%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$8 +44%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $42 +$71 +170%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$44 +148%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $18 +$2 +10%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $18 +$2 +10%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $11 +$13 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $44 +$31 +71%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals Jun 12 $12 +$3 +27%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$40 +414%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $21 +$41 +197%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $58 +$32 +54%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $130 −$110 -85%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 +$7 +54%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $109 +$31 +29%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $51 −$11 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$58
crypto 30% +$179
other 15% −$59
weather 1% −$4
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 9m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $4 9m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 67¢ $3 11m
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) BUY RUSTEC 78¢ $4 11m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 48¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 60¢ $4 23m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 61¢ $4 23m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 54¢ $6 26m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 50¢ $3 26m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $3 26m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 79¢ $4 28m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $0 29m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $2 31m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $3 31m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $29 34m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $26 34m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 38m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $28 38m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 52¢ $3 40m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 44m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 60¢ $3 44m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 60¢ $3 44m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $6 51m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 14? BUY No 93¢ $5 51m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 51m
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 36¢ $2 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 473 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 48% -9.3%
≤30d 473 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 48% -9.3%
≤90d 473 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 48% -9.3%
all 473 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 48% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover605.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 48% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 40% -18.0%
15% -29.8% 32% -25.9%
20% -36.6% 25% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,304.69 · official $5,304.70 (match) · 3500 history records