Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf02…8157
crypto · 1524 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,848 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,848 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,848
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses448 / 1411
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1859 / 1524
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day79.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1859 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,940
7 days−$1,848
14 days−$1,848
30 days−$1,848
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1859 -19.0% -26.7% 24% 24% -27.3%
≤30d 1859 -19.0% -26.7% 24% 24% -27.3%
≤90d 1859 -19.0% -26.7% 24% 24% -27.3%
all 1859 -19.0% -26.7% 24% 24% -27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 24% -27.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 1% -34.2%
15% -40.1% 0% -40.6%
20% -46.0% 0% -46.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.19 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records