Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf04…2973
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses34 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day102.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 95¢ 98¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -5.4% -14.4% 76% 31% -6.5%
≤30d 45 -5.4% -14.4% 76% 31% -6.5%
≤90d 45 -5.4% -14.4% 76% 31% -6.5%
all 45 -5.4% -14.4% 76% 31% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 31% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 11% -15.4%
15% -30.1% 9% -23.6%
20% -37.0% 7% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.12 · official $4.12 (match) · 297 history records