Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:23:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf08…12a3
sports · 573 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$84 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$183 · open −$99
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$366
Realized+$183
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses280 / 267
Est. fees paid−$150
Open positions23
Markets (closed)547 / 573
History coverage53d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 23 History 547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$146
7 days−$4
14 days+$242
30 days+$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 74¢ 100¢ $60 $81 +$21 (+35%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 73¢ 100¢ $30 $41 +$11 (+37%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 71¢ 76¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 30¢ 52¢ $18 $32 +$14 (+75%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 71¢ 69¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 30¢ 48¢ $18 $29 +$11 (+62%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B struggletony 60¢ 54¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-10%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 65¢ 42¢ $30 $19 −$11 (-36%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 65¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+54%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 56¢ 26¢ $30 $14 −$16 (-54%)
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Bellucci 58¢ 50¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-14%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+95%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 29¢ 17¢ $17 $10 −$7 (-41%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 16¢ 15¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-6%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Bergs/Rinderknech 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+170%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 36¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 29¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $30 +$21 +70%
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $24 −$24 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $30 +$17 +55%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $15 +$14 +95%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$24 +79%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $24 +$40 +165%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$9 +29%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $24 +$40 +165%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $14 +$16 +119%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $30 +$12 +40%
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $54 +$47 +88%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $0 $0 +167%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Sierra Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $30 +$11 +38%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $30 +$16 +52%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $23 +$7 +31%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Kicker vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $15 +$60 +388%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $11 +$6 +59%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $30 +$8 +26%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $28 +$27 +97%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Jun 11 $6 +$2 +29%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $30 +$21 +70%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $30 +$35 +114%
ITF Los Angeles: Abigail Haile vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 11 $30 +$9 +29%
Ilkley (Doubles): Stevenson/Willis vs Blanchet/Jacquet Jun 11 $13 +$5 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$240
other 5% −$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY struggletony 60¢ $30 3m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 16¢ $8 10m
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) BUY Bellucci 58¢ $14 14m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 71¢ $30 16m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 30¢ $18 42m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $30 44m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $6 45m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 8¢ $4 53m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 73¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 29¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 14¢ $7 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 51¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $18 1h
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova BUY Anisimova 37¢ $24 1h
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery BUY Snigur 25¢ $14 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 56¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 43¢ $31 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 74¢ $30 1h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 74¢ $30 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 36¢ $3 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 65¢ $10 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 72¢ $30 2h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 13¢ $6 2h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 76¢ $30 2h
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu SELL Malaika Rapolu 100¢ $5 2h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 99¢ $30 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Monte 100¢ $54 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $65 2h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 62¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $23 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -9.0% -17.7% 50% 50% -9.6%
≤30d 476 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 51% -7.1%
≤90d 547 -0.4% -9.8% 51% 51% -8.0%
all 547 -0.4% -9.8% 51% 51% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 51% -8.0%
10% -18.5% 47% -16.8%
15% -26.3% 39% -24.9%
20% -33.6% 32% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $365.64 · official $365.29 (match) · 943 history records