trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 100% | 60% | +2.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 100% | 50% | +0.3% |
| all | 8 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 100% | 50% | +0.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.2% | 50% | +0.3% |
| 10% | -9.4% | 12% | -9.3% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 20% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30? | May 31 | $61 | +$10 | +17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $123 | +$17 | +14% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $118 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | May 23 | $129 | +$29 | +23% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | May 22 | $118 | +$11 | +9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Apr 30 | $106 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Apr 29 | $103 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $99 | +$4 | +4% |