trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +4.4% | -5.6% | 67% | 67% | -7.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 75% | 67% | -21.3% |
| all | 28 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 79% | 36% | -31.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 36% | -31.7% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 32% | -38.2% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 21% | -44.2% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 7% | -49.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $62 | $62 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $68 | −$67 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? | Jun 12 | $60 | +$42 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $69 | +$30 | +44% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 26 | $109 | +$39 | +36% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $190 | +$79 | +42% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 05 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $12 | +$3 | +23% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $7 | +$5 | +70% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 24 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Car | Apr 21 | $4 | +$2 | +37% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 04 | $273 | −$273 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 04 | $264 | +$14 | +5% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 27 | $214 | +$50 | +24% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 18 | $297 | −$83 | -28% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Mar 07 | $277 | +$22 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026 | Feb 11 | $271 | +$5 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 04 | $257 | +$15 | +6% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | Jan 15 | $252 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | Jan 07 | $238 | +$14 | +6% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 20 | $221 | +$17 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | Nov 20 | $800 | −$800 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Nov 20 | $744 | +$56 | +8% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 03 | $1,209 | −$1,209 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | Nov 03 | $1,197 | +$12 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 31 | $28 | +$1 | +3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 31 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 31 | $54 | +$7 | +13% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 31 | $1,038 | +$17 | +2% |