Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf22…4c98
crypto · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses117 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)249 / 249
History coverage34d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$59
14 days−$59
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$9 +438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$21 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$15 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$8 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$19 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$70
other 2% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +2.4% -7.4% 46% 45% -19.8%
≤30d 155 -6.4% -15.3% 43% 43% -18.6%
≤90d 249 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 44% -12.9%
all 249 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 44% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 44% -12.9%
10% -26.9% 41% -21.2%
15% -34.0% 38% -28.8%
20% -40.4% 34% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 468 history records