Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf53…c3f4
crypto · 879 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$1,437 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$944 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$944
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses567 / 312
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)879 / 879
History coverage42d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day80.9
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$105
7 days+$174
14 days+$320
30 days+$799
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$941
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $17 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $14 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $19 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +10.6% +0.0% 73% 47% -0.3%
≤30d 315 +9.8% -0.6% 75% 41% +0.6%
≤90d 879 +5.9% -4.2% 65% 42% -2.0%
all 879 +5.9% -4.2% 65% 42% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 42% -2.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 20% -11.4%
15% -21.8% 6% -19.9%
20% -29.4% 1% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records