trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 21 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,892 | $1,893 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 20 | $1,889 | +$4 | +0% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,885 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $1,875 | +$9 | +0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 12 | $1,874 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $1,872 | +$2 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $1,868 | +$4 | +0% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $1,863 | +$6 | +0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $1,855 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1,849 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 23 | $1,840 | +$9 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | May 19 | $1,832 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 15 | $1,822 | +$9 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed | May 13 | $1,817 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8? | May 09 | $1,816 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur b | May 05 | $1,810 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | May 02 | $1,769 | +$42 | +2% |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Apr 17 | $1,767 | +$2 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 13 | $1,765 | +$2 | +0% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 09 | $1,761 | +$4 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 06 | $1,717 | +$44 | +3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 19 | $1,709 | +$9 | +0% |