Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf5a…3311
crypto · 1015 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$220 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$220 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$220
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses451 / 563
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1014 / 1015
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day447.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1014 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$220
14 days−$220
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 63¢ 72¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$220
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1014 -5.6% -14.6% 44% 43% -14.3%
≤30d 1014 -5.6% -14.6% 44% 43% -14.3%
≤90d 1014 -5.6% -14.6% 44% 43% -14.3%
all 1014 -5.6% -14.6% 44% 43% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 43% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 36% -22.5%
15% -30.2% 28% -30.0%
20% -37.1% 24% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.35 · official $3.03 · 2726 history records