Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf60…a6f5
sports · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,744,642 -106%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,768,709 · open +$24,085
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$143,400
Realized−$2,768,709
Unrealized+$24,085
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses65 / 443
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$32,590
Open positions11
Markets (closed)508 / 105
Avg bet$24,622
Trades / day735.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 508 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,787,291
7 days−$2,768,709
14 days−$2,768,709
30 days−$2,768,709
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 52¢ 81¢ $26,000 $40,600 +$14,600 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 61¢ 60¢ $36,424 $35,700 −$724 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $23,565 $22,976 −$589 (-2%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 17¢ 34¢ $8,629 $16,658 +$8,029 (+93%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 43¢ 44¢ $10,781 $10,945 +$164 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 56¢ 56¢ $8,579 $8,654 +$75 (+1%)
Kash Patel out by June 30? No 40¢ 92¢ $2,000 $4,625 +$2,625 (+131%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 32¢ 38¢ $1,336 $1,597 +$261 (+20%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 46¢ $1,449 $1,498 +$48 (+3%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes 15¢ 4¢ $350 $86 −$264 (-75%)
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 22¢ 7¢ $202 $62 −$141 (-69%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner FURIA Esports 59¢ 0¢ $15,837 $0 −$15,837 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 44¢ 0¢ $8,800 $0 −$8,800 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 57¢ 0¢ $28,500 $0 −$28,500 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Gen.G 50¢ 0¢ $3,725 $0 −$3,725 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 40¢ 0¢ $7,352 $0 −$7,352 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $7,652 $0 −$7,652 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Solary 25¢ 0¢ $554 $0 −$554 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 69¢ 0¢ $8,288 $0 −$8,288 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $16,000 $0 −$16,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $18,800 $0 −$18,800 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 72¢ 0¢ $20,039 $0 −$20,039 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ 0¢ $32,991 $0 −$32,991 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 39¢ 0¢ $3,233 $0 −$3,233 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $5,590 $0 −$5,590 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15,837 −$15,837 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8,800 −$8,800 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28,500 −$28,500 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $3,725 −$3,725 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,352 −$7,352 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,652 −$7,652 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $554 −$554 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $16,000 −$16,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $18,800 −$18,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $3,233 −$3,233 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $5,590 −$5,590 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $12,000 −$12,000 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $9,000 −$9,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12,432 −$12,432 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Jun 12 $1,250 −$1,250 -100%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? Jun 12 $4,958 −$4,958 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 12 $4,450 −$4,450 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15,143 −$15,143 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16,295 −$16,295 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 12 $30,492 −$30,492 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $20,709 −$20,709 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,692 −$3,692 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 12 $5,700 −$5,700 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $1,967 −$1,967 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5) Jun 12 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,536 −$2,536 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,003 −$5,215 -104%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $30,543 −$30,543 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $14,400 −$14,400 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,227 −$5,227 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $12,089 −$12,089 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 12 $18,900 −$18,900 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,934 −$3,934 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr Jun 12 $11,770 −$11,770 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $16,839 −$16,839 -100%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,867 −$6,867 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $16,624 −$16,624 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 12 $3,030 −$3,030 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $51,228 −$51,228 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16,175 −$16,175 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $3,300 −$3,300 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8,424 −$8,424 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 12 $3,838 −$3,838 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) Jun 12 $3,955 −$3,955 -100%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11,822 −$11,822 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 12 $8,475 −$8,475 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $18,283 −$18,283 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,782 −$1,782 -100%
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,500 −$2,500 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$612,954
other 4% +$55,122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $8 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $8 7m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $1 12m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $7 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $8 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $7 19m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $426 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $4 23m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $4 24m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $3 30m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $7 30m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $4 31m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $32 31m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $4 32m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 32m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $7 33m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $4 34m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $1 36m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $4 36m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $7 36m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $7 38m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 43¢ $77 38m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $12 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-79.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 508 -77.5% -79.7% 13% 13% -51.6%
≤30d 508 -77.5% -79.7% 13% 13% -51.6%
≤90d 508 -77.5% -79.7% 13% 13% -51.6%
all 508 -77.5% -79.7% 13% 13% -51.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover735.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -79.7% 13% -51.6%
10% -81.6% 13% -56.2%
15% ← realistic here -83.4% 11% -60.4%
20% -85.0% 9% -64.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $143,400.25 · official $143,401.78 (match) · 3500 history records